Price shocks hit your margins. Hedge them with prediction markets.

Ballast sees what's coming and what it could cost you. We find the events that could hit your business and use prediction markets to hedge against them, so you can focus on building what you love.

How it works

1

We find the markets that move your costs

We find open prediction markets on the events that drive your costs, like oil prices, shipping disruptions and policy decisions.

2

You share your numbers

Tell us what you buy, how much, and what you've paid recently. It takes a few minutes.

3

We show what each event could cost you

We turn every event into a dollar figure for your business, so you can see exactly what's at stake.

4

You choose your protection

Pick how much to cover: everything, a set budget, or only the worst case. If the event happens, the payout offsets your loss.

What it looks like

A paving company still has 2,500 tons of asphalt binder to buy this year. If oil jumps, so does every ton. Here's what a worst-case spike would cost, and what covering it costs.

Oil rises$91 → $150
Added cost to the business$442,500
Protection boughtOil above $150 at 10.4¢
Cost of protection$51,400
If oil hits $150Loss covered
If it doesn'tOut $51,400, buys at lower prices

Illustrative worst-case cover using market prices from Sep 29, 2026; smaller rises aren't covered at this level. Real estimates use your own numbers.

See what a price shock would cost your business.

Contact the team